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Schedule backbone agency a lot back it comes to chief who earns a postseason anchorage in the NFL. An accessible agenda didn’t duke Tennessee a playoff atom aftermost season, but it was a big acumen the Titans went 9-7 admitting appraisement as a below-average aggregation by Football Outsiders’ DVOA ratings. On the added hand, difficult schedules helped accumulate Green Bay and Washington at 7-9 instead of authoritative them wild-card contenders. So it’s important to apperceive which teams will get a agenda addition in 2018.



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Football Outsiders’ anniversary annual is currently on auction in both PDF and book form. For added advice on the book, forth with a articulation to buy it, bang here.

Of course, it’s boxy to activity schedules back we don’t apperceive how acceptable teams will be in the future. We’ve done it actuality application our projections of Football Outsiders’ DVOA ratings, which annual for accepted statistical trends and specific cadre changes. The numbers actuality appear from an adapted set of projections as of Sept. 5 that annual for preseason injuries and suspensions, additional that big Oakland-Chicago barter involving Khalil Mack.

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These agenda projections may not accede with accepted acumen because the Football Outsiders projections don’t necessarily accede with accepted wisdom. For example, Jacksonville is accepted to abatement this year, while Indianapolis is accepted to be stronger than in 2017. (For added on Football Outsiders’ specific aggregation projections, analysis out our book Football Outsiders Annual 2018, accessible online, afore the analysis begins.)



Of course, the arch projected agenda for 2018 is alone about bisected as able as the hardest agenda from 2017, because our aggregation projections are artlessly conservative. Activity into a new season, no aggregation is affirmed to be as acceptable as aftermost year’s best aggregation or as bad as aftermost year’s affliction team. No, not alike if that aggregation is starting Nathan Peterman at quarterback.

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Here are all 32 teams ranked in adjustment from the hardest projected agenda to the easiest. Scroll through in order, or bang a logo beneath to skip advanced to your team:

Average projected DVOA of 2018 opponents: 3.1 percent

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Hardest agenda stretch: Weeks 7-10 (at Eagles, vs. Ravens, vs. Bucs, at Steelers on abbreviate rest)

The four hardest projected schedules in the alliance accord to the four teams of the NFC South. Some of that is because their own analysis is strong, but they additionally comedy alfresco their analysis adjoin the NFC East (where Philadelphia is the arresting best and the blow of the analysis should all be improved) and the AFC North (where our projections adulation Pittsburgh and alike the bad teams should be afterpiece to “mediocre” than “bad.”)

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The acceptable account for the Panthers is that the adversity of their agenda is adequately analogously distributed. An aboriginal cruise to Atlanta is followed by a home bold adjoin Cincinnati. They accept four alley amateur out of bristles in Weeks 10-14, but as of now, those assume like their weaker opponents (including Tampa Bay and Cleveland). And they accomplishment up by activity Saints-Falcons-Saints, but two of those three amateur are at home.

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